Market Insight

18/07/2026 - 16/08/2026

The reporting window contained a limited number of high-importance items, both centred on central-bank policy communication and rate outlooks. In the United States, a TD Securities note focused on Federal Reserve communication after the latest FOMC meeting and said Chair Kevin Warsh could use the Jackson Hole Symposium to provide greater clarity on the Fed’s policy framework.

15 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-14

The reporting period was led by US inflation and Federal Reserve developments. July producer price data came in softer than expected, reinforcing the easing inflation picture after the previous day’s CPI release, while Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said it remains uncertain whether current policy is sufficiently restrictive or whether another rate increase may still be required. Separately, the Federal Reserve’s decision to halt Reserve Management Purchases drew attention, with TD Secu...

14 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-13

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remained a central theme in the reporting window, with Iran saying there had been no progress on an interim peace arrangement with the United States and energy-market coverage highlighting continued concern over shipping and supply disruptions linked to the region. Those developments were accompanied by updated projections from the International Energy Agency, which lowered its 2026 oil supply and demand forecasts.

13 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-12

The reporting period was dominated by three themes: coordinated currency action involving Japan and the United States, persistent geopolitical disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, and the scheduled release of key US inflation data. Together, these developments kept attention on official policy actions, energy supply risks and the near-term macroeconomic calendar.

12 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-11

Middle East developments dominated the reporting window, with Iran's refusal to negotiate with the United States during President Donald Trump's term casting doubt on any near-term reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. That stance, together with Iran's previously stated conditions for reopening the waterway and reports of additional regional security threats, kept energy supply risks at the centre of market coverage and coincided with a strong rise in oil prices.

11 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 2026-08-10

Geopolitical developments in the Middle East dominated the reporting window, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining at the centre of both diplomatic negotiations and energy market attention. Iranian officials said talks mediated by Oman were progressing, but they also tied a full resumption of commercial shipping to wider US concessions, while separate unverified reports of a tanker attack highlighted the fragility of the situation.

10 Aug 2026

Week Ahead: US CPI, RBA Rate Decision & UK GDP in Focus

After a weaker-than-expected US jobs report, Middle East uncertainty, and USD/JPY volatility, attention turns to US CPI, which is expected to cool slightly. The RBA rate decision and UK Q2 GDP will also be in focus.

10 Aug 2026

Fed September Rate Hike Odds Rise as Warsh Set to Deliver Key Speech at Global Central Bank Symposium

CME FedWatch Tool shows markets are pricing in a 55% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise rates by 25 basis points in September.

7 Aug 2026

Walsh Reportedly Held Multiple Private Calls with Trump, Raising Fresh Questions Over Fed Independence

Since Kevin Walsh became Federal Reserve Chair in May this year, President Trump has reportedly called him multiple times to discuss topics including the economic impact of the Iran war and the rapid rise of artificial intelligence.

6 Aug 2026

Trump’s Greenland Plan: “Control” Before January 2029!

U.S. President Donald Trump has once again set his sights on Greenland, and this time he has even laid out a timeline for bringing the island under U.S. “control.”

4 Aug 2026

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Email: support@tmgm.com

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Email: support@tmgm.com

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