Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds above $51.00 as it nears trading range support

  • Thursday sees silver trade slightly lower, but selling pressure fails to gather momentum.
  • With prices confined to a range beneath the 100-EMA on the 4-hour chart, bears retain the advantage.
  • Only a sustained break above resistance at $53.15-$53.20 would remove the bearish bias.

The weekly low around $51.20-$51.15 is being tested again as Silver (XAG/USD) slips during Thursday’s Asian session, following the previous day’s swings in both directions. Further selling has failed to materialise, however, leaving the white metal trading around the mid-$51.00s, less than 0.50% lower on the day.

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Repeated unsuccessful attempts to break above the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart leave XAG/USD under clear bearish pressure from a technical standpoint. At $53.17, this resistance also marks the upper boundary of a range established over the past week, making it a key reference level for short-term traders.

With the Relative Strength Index close to 44 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator below zero, the signals point to muted bullish momentum rather than an imminent reversal. A further decline would therefore need confirmation from follow-through selling beneath support at the lower end of the trading range, near $51.00.

A break lower could take XAG/USD beneath the psychological $50.00 level, followed by the next notable support around the round number of $49.00 and the one-year low of $48.65-$48.60 reached last Tuesday. Any recovery would first face significant resistance in the $53.15-$53.20 region; bulls would need to regain this area to temper the prevailing bearish bias.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

XAG/USD remains under pressure on the 4-hour chart

Chart Analysis XAG/USD

Silver: frequently asked questions

Historically a store of value and a medium of exchange, silver remains a heavily traded precious metal among investors. Gold is more popular, but traders may choose silver for its intrinsic value, to diversify their portfolios or as a potential hedge when inflation is high. Exposure can come through purchases of physical coins or bars, or through investment vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds that track silver’s price on international markets.

A broad set of influences can drive movements in silver prices. Its safe-haven status means geopolitical turmoil or concerns about a severe recession can push prices higher, though the effect is less pronounced than for gold. Lower interest rates also tend to support silver because it pays no yield. Another important influence is the US Dollar (USD): silver is priced in dollars (XAG/USD), so a stronger dollar generally restrains its price, while dollar weakness is likely to lift it. Prices can also respond to investment demand, recycling rates and mine supply, with silver far more abundant than gold.

Among metals, silver has one of the highest levels of electrical conductivity, exceeding both copper and gold. This makes it widely used across industry, notably in electronics and solar energy. Rising demand can lift prices, whereas falling demand tends to weigh on them. Developments in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also cause price fluctuations. The large industrial sectors in the US and, particularly, China use silver in a variety of processes, while Indian consumer demand for silver jewellery is another important influence on prices.

Given their similar safe-haven characteristics, silver generally moves in line with gold and typically rises when gold prices advance. Their relative valuations may be assessed using the Gold/Silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of silver equal the value of one ounce of gold. A high ratio may be interpreted by some investors as a sign that silver is undervalued or gold overvalued. A low ratio, by contrast, may indicate that gold is undervalued compared with silver.