WTI Oil trades above $103.00 near five-month highs as fresh attacks unfold in the Strait of Hormuz

  • After reaching new five-month highs at $104.00, WTI Oil holds above $103.00.
  • Supply disruption fears intensify as attacks continue in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • Despite regional powers’ continued efforts to secure peace, military action remains an option for the US.

A monthly gain of 15% remains in prospect for US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI), with the price holding above $103.00 a barrel after touching five-month highs just above 104.00 earlier on Friday. Oil is advancing for a third successive day, supported by reports of further attacks on vessels trying to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which have heightened fears of supply disruption.

TMGM Analysis: Financial Market News, Economic Calendar & Market Insights

Crude prices continue to rise as vessels come under attack in the Strait of Hormuz. According to the UK Maritime Trade Organisation (UKMTO) on Friday, two limpet mines exploded and disabled an oil tanker. It was the first successful attack using this type of explosive since the conflict began in February.

Adding to worries about global supply, authorities from the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated that four vessels had struck tankers in the Hormuz waterway. Tehran-backed Houthi militias also claimed to have attacked airports and oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia.

Qatari mediators return to Tehran as peace efforts continue

With a peace agreement still proving elusive, regional mediators are continuing their diplomatic efforts. A Qatari delegation returned to Tehran in a fresh bid to bring the US and Iran back to negotiations, Reuters reported earlier on Friday. The visit followed alleged contact between US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian officials in which he proposed a new diplomatic process.

Wide differences over key questions, including uranium enrichment, nevertheless leave markets doubtful that a negotiated end to the conflict is within immediate reach. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reported on Thursday that a senior US commander had briefed US President Donald Trump on military options in Iran. This suggests hostilities might restart after next week’s mid-term elections.

WTI Oil Explained

Traded internationally, WTI Oil is a grade of crude oil whose initials stand for West Texas Intermediate. Alongside Brent and Dubai Crude, it is one of the three major types. Its relatively low gravity and sulphur content account for its descriptions as “light” and “sweet”, respectively. WTI is regarded as a high-quality oil that is straightforward to refine. Produced in the United States, it is distributed through the Cushing hub, known as “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. Its role as an oil market benchmark means WTI prices are regularly cited by the media.

Supply and demand underpin WTI Oil prices, as they do those of other assets. Stronger global growth can therefore lift demand, while weaker growth can have the reverse effect. Supply disruptions arising from political instability, wars or sanctions can also affect prices. Another important influence is the policy of OPEC, a grouping of major oil-producing countries. As oil is traded predominantly in US Dollars, the currency’s value also affects WTI Crude Oil prices: a weaker US Dollar can make oil more affordable, while a stronger one can do the opposite.

WTI Oil prices respond to the weekly oil inventory figures released by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA). Movements in stock levels reflect shifts in supply and demand. A decline in inventories can signal stronger demand and lift oil prices; a rise can point to greater supply and weigh on prices. Each Tuesday brings the API report, followed by the EIA release the next day. The two sets of figures tend to be close, coming within 1% of one another 75% of the time. As the EIA is a government agency, its data is regarded as more reliable.

At meetings held twice a year, the 12 oil-producing nations in OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) jointly set production quotas for their members. These decisions frequently influence WTI Oil prices. Lower quotas can restrict supply and lift oil prices, whereas an increase in OPEC production has the reverse effect. The broader OPEC+ grouping brings in ten additional countries outside OPEC, with Russia the most notable among them.