US labour market: What do claims and wages signal? – UBS

With the data calendar relatively quiet, US initial jobless claims may attract market attention, notes Paul Donovan at UBS. Housing data is also due.

Do jobless claims signal wage-price risks?

"US initial jobless claims data may get some attention in an otherwise relatively quiet data calendar."

"US policy-makers would have to be concerned if there were evidence of a really tight labor market, creating a wage-price spiral."

"However, in spite of repeated inflation shocks, that has not emerged."

"Housing data is also due."

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