Euro: Is 1.1280 key to a positive outlook against US Dollar? - UOB

EUR/USD advanced to 1.1272 before settling at 1.1227, with lower US yields weighing on the US Dollar (USD), note United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann. In the near term, they expect trading to remain within 1.1205–1.1265. Their one-to-three-week view remains positive, although additional gains depend on the pair clearing 1.1280 and support at 1.1180 remaining intact.

Can the uptrend resume beyond the 1.1280 barrier?

"24-HOUR VIEW: Following the sharp rise in EUR early yesterday, we highlighted the following: “Upward momentum is building, and there is room for EUR to test 1.1250. It is too early to determine whether EUR can break clearly above this level.” While EUR rose more than expected to 1.1272, it retreated from the high to close at 1.1227 (+0.30%). The immediate upward pressure has eased, and the current price movements are likely part of a range-trading phase between 1.1205 and 1.1265."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Yesterday (04 Nov, spot at 1.1225), we highlighted that “the renewed upward momentum suggests EUR could test 1.1250.” We pointed out that “it must close above this level before a move to 1.1280 is likely.” However, EUR broke above 1.1250 and soared to a high of 1.1272 before retreating. While we continue to maintain a positive EUR stance, 1.1280 is acting as a key resistance now, and EUR must break above this level before further advances can be expected. Looking ahead, the next level to watch is 1.1320. On the downside, a breach of 1.1180 (‘strong support’ level was at 1.1160 yesterday) would indicate that the advance that started late last week has run its course."

(An editor reviewed this article, which was produced with assistance from an Artificial Intelligence tool. Learn more.)