Perspectives du Marché

03/08/2026 - 01/09/2026

Market Hits New High, Retail Investors Are Extremely Pessimistic! The Market In September Is Destined To Be Extraordinary

In August, the S&P 500 rose 2.62%, and on August 13, it hit a record high of 7,816.70 points. However, retail investor sentiment has diverged. According to the latest survey by the American Association of Retail Investors (AAII), the bearish ratio has exceeded 40% for three consecutive weeks. Goldman Sachs defines this combination as a "rare divergence" and offers a counterintuitive conclusion: historically, under this combination, the S&P 500 has averaged a one-month return of 1.1% and a three-month average return of 2.9%, with a win rate of about 75%.

1 Sep 2026

【TMGM Financial Recap】 Surging Oil Prices And The Shadow Of Rate Hikes Have Pushed Gold Prices To Near Two-Week Lows; We Are Awaiting Friday's Nonfarm Payroll Data!

Driven by hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Walsh, expectations for a rate hike in September have risen to 64%, and gold prices have fallen to a nearly two-week low!

1 Sep 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 31 August 2026

U.S.-Iran tensions escalated after U.S. strikes on Iranian launchers near the Strait of Hormuz and an Iranian retaliatory attack on U.S. targets in Jordan, keeping Middle East supply risks in sharp focus. Oil prices moved higher as the latest Gulf tensions raised concerns over Strait of Hormuz shipments, with Brent briefly rising above $90 a barrel and WTI trading above $85.50. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks revived expectations of a September rate increase, with fed...

31 Aug 2026

Week Ahead: RBNZ, BoC and NFP report

Markets are entering September, closely watching whether central banks will continue monetary tightening. The RBNZ and BoC rate decisions are in focus. The main focus will be the NFP report.

31 Aug 2026

Mywell Technology Plunges After Earnings; Earnings Beat Expectations Are Not Enough, Wall Street Complains Google Is Too Slow To Bring In Large Orders!

Although Mywell Technology's latest financial report and future revenue guidance both exceeded market expectations, its stock price still fell last Friday!

31 Aug 2026

Wash-Jackson Hole Hawks As Gold Plunges Below $4,500, Facing A Major Nonfarm Roll Test This Week!

Last Friday, gold prices plunged more than 3% after Federal Reserve Chair Wash hinted at Jackson Hole that if inflation does not clearly fall back to the 2% target, the Fed "has work to do," with the focus shifting to U.S. employment data!

31 Aug 2026

【TMGM Financial Recap】 Wash's Hawkish Stance: The Probability Of A Rate Hike In September Soared From 35% Overnight To Nearly 60%! The US Dollar Posted Its Largest Single-Day Gain In Two And A Half Months, While The Offshore RMB Fell Below 6.73 Intraday

At 22:00 Beijing time last Friday (August 28), Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh delivered his first keynote speech since taking office at the Jackson Hole annual meeting in Wyoming. Coinciding with his 100th day in office, he made his toughest statement yet: if we cannot be confident that underlying inflation is falling "clearly and quickly enough" toward the 2% target, "we still have work to do."

31 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 29 August 2026

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks put inflation back at the center of U.S. policy discussions, lifting the U.S. Dollar and prompting markets to raise the implied probability of a September rate hike to about 56%-57% from roughly 36% before his speech. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said it was time for the Federal Reserve to act with rate hikes, reinforcing the hawkish tone from U.S. central-bank officials. Canada’s economy grew 0.8% quarter-on-quarter in the seco...

29 Aug 2026

TMGM Daily Market Breakfast: 28 August 2026

Federal Reserve officials used the opening of Jackson Hole to stress that U.S. policy remains restrictive, with several policymakers warning that inflation pressures tied to energy, tariffs and geopolitics have not fully faded. Markets turned to Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole keynote later on Friday, with several reports highlighting limited expectations for explicit forward guidance ahead of the September 16 policy meeting. The European Central Bank’s July meeting account and fresh nat...

28 Aug 2026

The US and UK Join Forces to "Block" Chinese Gold, The Battle for Gold Pricing Continues to Escalate

The U.S. Department of Homeland Security has blacklisted three companies: Shandong Gold Mining, Shandong Gold Smelting, and Xinjiang Jinchuan Mining. Subsequently, the London Bullion and Silver Market Association (LBMA) suspended Shandong Gold Smelting's qualified gold and silver delivery qualifications due to the U.S. list

28 Aug 2026

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Email: support@tmgm.com

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